August... Thankgiving... Christmas... Easter?

Congress is not good with deadlines.

July 14: Obama wants health care bill passed before August recess

September 10: Biden: Health care bill 'Before Thanksgiving'

November 10: Reid says health bill will be done by Christmas

At this point, I don't think a bill of any kind will pass before the end of the year. There's no solution in sight for the Lieberman/Nelson problem. The Stupak amendment on abortion threatens to split the Democratic caucus. There's a whole lot of compromising to be done, and several Democrats who would probably prefer to let the clock run out.